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March Sees 1% CPI Rise as PPI Ends 41-Month Decline
March's CPI rose 1.0% year on year, with core CPI up 1.1%. Industrial goods, notably a 65.8% rise in gold jewelry and higher gasoline prices, contributed to the increase, while service inflation moderated. Month-on-month, CPI fell 0.7% due mainly to a 2.7% drop in food prices and large falls in fresh vegetables and fruit after the Spring Festival. The PPI returned to growth at 0.5%, ending a 41-month decline, driven by imported inflationary pressures and improved supply–demand dynamics. China aims for roughly 2% CPI growth in 2026.
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China's consumer price index (CPI), a principal gauge of inflationary pressure, increased by 1.0 percent year on year in March. The core CPI, which strips out volatile food and energy components, rose 1.1 percent.
A sectoral breakdown shows industrial goods prices advanced 2.2 percent year on year, accounting for a 0.67 percentage-point contribution to overall CPI. This was underpinned by an extraordinary 65.8-percent leap in gold jewelry prices, while gasoline prices returned to positive territory with a 3.8-percent gain.
Service-sector inflation moderated. Prices for travel agency services, hotel accommodation, air tickets and vehicle rentals slowed to year-on-year gains of between 0.9 and 3.3 percent. Other services — including pet care, vehicle repair and maintenance, domestic services and dining out — recorded more modest rises of 1.2 to 1.6 percent.
On a month-on-month basis, the CPI declined 0.7 percent in March. NBS statistician Dong Lijuan attributed this to seasonal moderation following the Spring Festival. Food prices were a primary drag, sliding 2.7 percent from February and subtracting 0.48 percentage points from the monthly CPI. Fresh vegetables and fruit fell 10.1 percent and 3.3 percent respectively, reflecting increased supply from warmer weather and a post-holiday dip in demand.
The producer price index (PPI), which captures factory-gate prices, returned to year-on-year growth in March, rising 0.5 percent and bringing to an end a 41-month streak of decline. The NBS pointed to imported inflationary pressures and improved supply–demand dynamics in certain domestic industries as the main drivers of the turnaround.
According to this year's government work report, China has set a CPI growth target of around 2 percent for 2026.